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Atmospheric Science & Global Change

Staff information

Page Kyle

Integrated Modeling & Energy


Page Kyle is a Research Scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, where he has been employed since September 2006. His research generally addresses technology and mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions, from an integrated assessment framework. Specific areas of research have included development of representations of renewable energy resources, secondary energy production, final energy demand, non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions, agriculture and land use, and water demand. He received a B.A. from Dartmouth College in Earth Sciences and Economics, and a M.S. in ecology from Utah State University.

Education and Credentials

  • Dartmouth College, B.A.
  • Utah State University, M.S.

PNNL Publications


  • Yin X, W Chen, J Eom, LE Clarke, SH Kim, PL Patel, S Yu, and GP Kyle. 2015. "China's transportation energy consumption and CO2 emissions from a global perspective." Energy Policy 82:233-248.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.03.021


  • Kyle GP, C Mueller, KV Calvin, and AM Thomson. 2014. "Meeting the Radiative Forcing Targets of the Representative Concentration Pathways in a World with Agricultural Climate Impacts." Earths Future 2(2):83-98.  doi:10.1002/2013EF000199
  • Nelson G, D van der Mensbrugghe, H Ahammad, E Blanc, KV Calvin, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, E Heyhoe, GP Kyle, H Lotze-Campen, M von Lampe, D Mason d'Croz, H van Meijl, C Mueller, JM Reilly, R Robertson, R Sands, C Schmitz, A Tabeau, K Takahashi, H Valin, and D Willenbockel. 2014. "Agriculture and Climate Change in Global Scenarios: Why Don't the Models Agree." Agricultural Economics 45(1):85-101.  doi:10.1111/agec.12091
  • Pietzcker R, T Longden, W Chen, S Fu, E Kriegler, GP Kyle, and G Luderer. 2014. "Long-term transport energy demand and climate policy: Alternative visions on transport decarbonization in energy-economy models." Energy 64:95-108.  doi:10.1016/
  • Valin H, R Sands, D van der Mensbrugghe, G Nelson, H Ahammad, E Blanc, B Bodirsky, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, E Heyhoe, GP Kyle, D Mason d'Croz, S Paltsev, S Rolinski, A Tabeau, H van Meijl, M von Lampe, and D Willenbockel. 2014. "The Future of Food Demand: Understanding Differences in Global Economic Models." Agricultural Economics 45(1):51-67.  doi:10.1111/agec.12089
  • von Lampe M, D Willenbockel, H Ahammad, E Blanc, Y Cai, KV Calvin, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, GP Kyle, H Lotze-Campen, D Mason d'Croz, G Nelson, R Sands, C Schmitz, A Tabeau, H Valin, D van der Mensbrugghe, and H van Meijl. 2014. "Why Do Global Long-term Scenarios for Agriculture Differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison." Agricultural Economics 45(1):3-20.  doi:10.1111/agec.12086


  • Chaturvedi V, SH Kim, SJ Smith, LE Clarke, Y Zhou, GP Kyle, and PL Patel. 2013. "Model Evaluation and Hindcasting: An Experiment with an Integrated Assessment Model." Energy 61:479-490.  doi:10.1016/
  • Girod B, D Van Vuuren, M Grahn, A Kitous, SH Kim, and GP Kyle. 2013. "Climate Impact of Transportation A Model Comparison ." Climatic Change 118(3-4):595-608.  doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0663-6
  • Nelson G, H Valin, R Sands, P Havlik, H Ahammad, D Deryng, J Elliott, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, E Heyhoe, GP Kyle, M von Lampe, H Lotze-Campen, D Mason d'Croz, H van Meijl, D van der Mensbrugghe, C Mueller, A Popp, R Robertson, S Robinson, E Schmid, C Schmitz, A Tabeau, and D Willenbockel. 2013. "Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111(9):3274-3279.  doi:10.1073/pnas.1222465110



  • Kyle GP, and SH Kim. 2011. "Long-Term Implications of Alternative Light-Duty Vehicle Technologies for Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Primary Energy Demands." Energy Policy 39(5):3012 - 3024.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2011.03.016
  • Smith SJ, J West, and GP Kyle. 2011. "Economically consistent long-term scenarios for air pollutant emissions." Climatic Change 108(3):619-627.  doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0219-1
  • Kyle GP, P Luckow, KV Calvin, WR Emanuel, M Nathan, and Y Zhou. 2011. GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land Use: Data Sources and MethodsPNNL-21025, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Lamarque JF, GP Kyle, M Meinshausen, K Riahi, SJ Smith, D Van Vuuren, A Conley, and F Vitt. 2011. "Global and regional evolution of short-lived radiatively-active gases and aerosols in the Representative Concentration Pathways." Climatic Change 109(1-2):191-212.  doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0155-0


  • Zhang Y, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, and PW Stackhouse, Jr.. 2010. "Modeling The Potential For Thermal Concentrating Solar Power Technologies ." Energy Policy 38(12):7884-7897.  doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.09.008




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