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Yannick Le Page

Terrestrial Processes & Adaptation


Yannick earned a Ph.D. in Forestry from the School of Agronomy in Lisbon, Portugal, before moving to Washington DC. He's been exploring the drivers and impacts of vegetation fires at regional to global scales, with a particular interest in the interaction of climate (fire-prone conditions) and human activities (e.g. fire-use for deforestation or land-management). Within the Global Ecology Lab, he is modeling the occurrence and impacts of ecosystem disturbances on the carbon cycle (fires, hurricanes, pests), and using the results to study the sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to potential changes in future disturbance frequency. This project involves the Ecosystem Demography model (ED) for vegetation and disturbance modeling, and its coupling with the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM) for economy, energy, landuse and climate mitigation policy scenarios.

PNNL Publications


  • Le Page YLB, D Morton, B Bond-Lamberty, JM Pereira, and GC Hurtt. 2015. "HESFIRE: a global fire model to explore the role of anthropogenic and weather drivers." Biogeosciences 12(3):887-903.  doi:10.5194/bg-12-887-2015


  • Le Page YLB, D Morton, B Bond-Lamberty, JMC Pereira, and G Hurtt. 2014. "HESFIRE: an explicit fire model for projections in the coupled Human-Earth System." Biogeosciences 11(7):10779-10826.  doi:10.5194/bgd-11-10779-2014
  • West TO, YLB Le Page, M Huang, J Wolf, and AM Thomson. 2014. "Downscaling Global Land Cover Projections from an Integrated Assessment Model for Use in Regional Analyses: Results and Evaluation for the US from 2005 to 2095." Environmental Research Letters 9(6):Article No. 064004.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064004


  • Le Page YLB, G Hurtt, AM Thomson, B Bond-Lamberty, PL Patel, MA Wise, KV Calvin, GP Kyle, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, and AC Janetos. 2013. "Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances." Environmental Research Letters 8(1):Article No. 015018.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015018

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