Skip to Main Content U.S. Department of Energy
Fundamental and Computational Sciences Directorate

Staff information

Richard

Richard H. Moss

Integrat Analys & Dec Sci Team
Scientist

Biography

Richard H. Moss is a Senior Scientist at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory’s Joint Global Change Research Institute and Adjunct Professor in the Department of Geographical Sciences at the University of Maryland, College Park. Moss’s research on global environmental change focuses on (1) scenarios (including the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), (2) uncertainty characterization in integrated models and scientific assessments, and (3) methods for evaluating potential consequences of interacting societal and environmental changes. Moss has held several public service positions including Director of the US Global Change Research Program/Climate Change Science Program Office (spanning the Clinton and G.W. Bush Administrations) and technical support director for one of the working groups of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Moss chairs the Federal Advisory Committee for the Sustained US National Climate Assessment and the National Academy of Science's Board on Environmental Change and Society. He is a fellow of the American Society for the Advancement of Science, a National Associate of the National Research Council, and a Distinguished Associate of the US Department of Energy. He received his Ph.D. from Princeton University in public and international affairs.

Richard H. Moss: Joint Global Change Research Institute Publications.

Research Interests

  • Systems dynamics of integrated human-environment systems
  • Uncertainty characterization
  • Vulnerability indicators and assessments
  • Climate and socioeconomic scenarios (e.g.,Representative Concentration Pathways -- RCPs)

Education and Credentials

  • Ph.D., Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University (1987)
  • M.P.A., Princeton University (1983)
  • B.A., Carleton College (1977)

Affiliations and Professional Service

  • Chair, Federal Advisory Committee for the Sustained US National Climate Assessment (2016-present)
  • Chair, National Academy of Sciences, Board on Environmental Change and Society (2009-present)
  • Member, NOAA Science Advisory Board (2016- )
  • Member, executive committee of National Climate Assessment Development and Advisory Committee (2011-2014)
  • Chair, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Task Group on Scenarios (2002-2011)
  • Climatic Change Editorial Board (1999-present)
  • Annual Review of Energy and the Environment Editorial Board (1994-1999)

Awards and Recognitions

  • National Associate, National Research Council (2016)
  • Fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science (2007)
  • Distinguished Associate, U.S. Department of Energy (2004)
  • Aldo Leopold Fellow (2001)
  • International Affairs Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations (NY) (1991-1993)

PNNL Publications

2017

  • Calvin KV, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, J Eom, CA Hartin, SH Kim, GP Kyle, RP Link, RH Moss, HC McJeon, PL Patel, SJ Smith, ST Waldhoff, and MA Wise. 2017. "The SSP4: A World of Deepening Inequality." Global Environmental Change 42:284-296.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010

2016

  • Moss RH. 2016. "Assessing Decision Support Systems and Levels of Confidence to Narrow the Climate Information “Usability Gap”." Climatic Change 135(1):143-155.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1549-1
  • Buizer JL, K Dow, ME Black, K Jacobs, A Waple, RH Moss, S Moser, A Luers, DI Gustafson, TC Richmond, SL Hays, and CB Field. 2016. "Building a sustained climate assessment process." Climatic Change 135(1):23-37.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1501-4
  • Kunkel KE, RH Moss, and A Parris. 2016. "Innovations in science and scenarios for assessment." Climatic Change 135(1):55-68.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1494-z
  • Meehl GA, and RH Moss. 2016. "Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97(11):20027-2037.  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00204.1
  • Moser S, J Melillo, K Jacobs, RH Moss, and JL Buizer. 2016. "Aspirations and common tensions: larger lessons from the third US national climate assessment." Climatic Change 135(1):187-201.  doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1530-z
  • ONeill BC, C Tebaldi, D Van Vuuren, V Eyring, P Fridelingstein, G Hurtt, R Knutti, E Kriegler, JF Lamarque, J Lowe, GA Meehl, RH Moss, K Riahi, and BM Sanderson. 2016. "The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6." Geoscientific Model Development 9(9):3461-3482.  doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016

2015

  • Kraucunas IP, LE Clarke, JA Dirks, JE Hathaway, MI Hejazi, KA Hibbard, M Huang, C Jin, MCW Kintner-Meyer, K Kleese van Dam, LYR Leung, H Li, RH Moss, MJ Peterson, JS Rice, MJ Scott, AM Thomson, N Voisin, and TO West. 2015. "Investigating the Nexus of Climate, Energy, Water, and Land at Decision-Relevant Scales: The Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis (PRIMA)." Climatic Change 129(3-4):573-588.  doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1064-9
  • Scott MJ, DS Daly, JE Hathaway, CS Lansing, Y Liu, HC McJeon, RH Moss, PL Patel, MJ Peterson, JS Rice, and Y Zhou. 2015. "Calculating Impacts of Energy Standards on Energy Demand in U.S. Buildings with Uncertainty in an Integrated Assessment Model." Energy 90(Part 2):1682-1694.  doi:10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.127

2014

  • Engle NL, A de Bremond, EL Malone, and RH Moss. 2014. "Towards a resilience indicator framework for making climate-change adaptation decisions." Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 19(8):1295-1312.  doi:10.1007/s11027-013-9475-x
  • Hejazi MI, JA Edmonds, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, E Davies, V Chaturvedi, MA Wise, PL Patel, J Eom, KV Calvin, RH Moss, and SH Kim. 2014. "LONG-TERM GLOBAL WATER USE PROJECTIONS USING SIX SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS IN AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELING FRAMEWORK." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 81:205-226.  doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.05.006
  • Meehl J, RH Moss, KE Taylor, V Eyring, RJ Stouffer, S Bony, and B Stevens. 2014. "Climate Model Intercomparisons: Preparing for the Next Phase." Eos 95(9):77-78.  doi:10.1002/2014EO090001
  • Scott MJ, DS Daly, JE Hathaway, CS Lansing, Y Liu, HC McJeon, RH Moss, PL Patel, MJ Peterson, JS Rice, and Y Zhou. 2014. Calculating Impacts of Energy Standards on Energy Demand in U.S. Buildings under Uncertainty with an Integrated Assessment Model: Technical Background DataPNNL-23918, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Weaver CP, S Mooney, D Allen, N Beller-Simms, T Fish, A Grambsch, W Hohenstein, K Jacobs, MA Kenney, MA Lane, L Langner, E Larson, DL McGinnis, RH Moss, LG Nichols, C Nierenberg, EA Seyller, P Stern, and R Winthrop. 2014. "From global change science to action with social sciences." Nature Climate Change 4(8):656-659.  doi:10.1038/nclimate2319

2013

  • West TO, ME Brown, RM Duran, S Ogle, and RH Moss. 2013. "Definition, Capabilities, and Components of a Terrestrial Carbon Monitoring System." Carbon Management 4(4):413-422.  doi:10.4155/CMT.13.36
  • Eom J, RH Moss, JA Edmonds, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, R Kopp, GP Kyle, PW Luckow, PL Patel, AM Thomson, MA Wise, and Y Zhou. 2013. "Scenarios of Future Socio-Economics, Energy, Land Use, and Radiative Forcing." In Engineering Response to Climate Change, 2nd Ed., ed. RG Watts, pp. 81-138  CRC Press Inc, Boca Raton, FL. 
  • Moss RH, G Meehl, MC Lemos, JB Smith, JR Arnold, JC Arnott, D Behar, GP Brasseur, SB Broomell, A Busalacchi, S Dessai, KL Ebi, JA Edmonds, J Furlow, L Goddard, H Hartmann, J Hurrell, JW Katzenberger, DM Liverman, P Mote, SC Moser, A Kumar, R Pulwarty, EA Seyller, BL Turner, WM Washington, and T Wilbanks. 2013. "Hell and High Water: Practice-Relevant Adaptation Science." Science 342(6159):696-698 .  doi:10.1126/science.1239569

2012

  • Moss RH, and MA Lane. 2012. "Decisionmaking, Transitions, and Resilient Futures." Issues in Science and Technology 28(4):31-34. 
  • Rice JS, RH Moss, PJ Runci, KL Anderson, and EL Malone. 2012. "Incorporating Stakeholder Decision Support Needs into an Integrated Regional Earth System Model ." Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 17(7):805-819.  doi:10.1007/s11027-011-9345-3
  • Eom J, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, SH Kim, R Kopp, GP Kyle, P Luckow, RH Moss, PL Patel, and MA Wise. 2012. "Exploring the Future Role of Asia Utilizing A Scenario Matrix Architecture and Shared Socio-Ecosystem Pathways." Energy Economics 34(Supplement 3):S325-S338.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.012
  • Kriegler E, B O'Neill, S Hallegatte, T Kram, R Lempert, RH Moss, and T Wilbanks. 2012. "The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: A new approach based on shared socio-economic pathways." Global Environmental Change. Part A, Human and Policy Dimensions 22(4):807-822.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.05.005
  • Rosa E, T Dietz, RH Moss, S Atran, and S Moser. 2012. "Managing the Risks of Climate Change and Terrorism." Solutions: For a Sustainable and Desirable Future 3(2):59-65. 
  • Rosa E, T Dietz, RH Moss, S Atran, and S Moser. 2012. "Managing the Risks of Climate Change and Terrorism." Solutions: For a Sustainable and Desirable Future 3(2):59-65. 
  • Van Vuuren D, K Riahi, RH Moss, JA Edmonds, AM Thomson, N Nakicenovic, T Kram, F Berkhout, R Swart, AC Janetos, SK Rose, and N Arnell. 2012. "A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities." Global Environmental Change. Part A, Human and Policy Dimensions 22(1):21-35.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002

2011

2010

  • Rice JS, PJ Runci, RH Moss, and KL Anderson. 2010. iRESM INITIATIVE UNDERSTANDING DECISION SUPPORT NEEDS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION --US Midwest Region- PNNL-20104, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Manning M, JA Edmonds, S Emori, A Grubler, KA Hibbard, F Joos, M Kainuma, R Keeling, T Kram, A Manning, M Meinhausen, RH Moss, N Nakicenovic, K Riahi, SK Rose, SJ Smith, R Swart, and D Van Vuuren. 2010. "Misrepresentation of the IPCC CO2 emission scenarios ." Nature Geoscience 3(6):376-377. 
  • Moss RH, JA Edmonds, K Hibbard, M Manning, SK Rose, D Van Vuuren, T Carter, S Emori, M Kainuma, T Kram, G Meehl, J Mitchell, N Nakicenovic, K Riahi, SJ Smith, R Stouffer, AM Thomson, J Weyant, and T Wilbanks. 2010. "The Next Generation of Scenarios for Climate Change Research and Assessment." Nature 463(7282):747-756.  doi:10.1038/nature08823

2008

  • Moss RH, M Babiker, S Brinkman, E Calvo, T Carter, JA Edmonds, I Elgizouli, S Emori, E Lin, K Hibbard, R Jones, M Kainuma, J Kelleher, JF Lamarque, M Manning, B Matthews, J Meehl, L Meyer, J Mitchell, N Nakicenovic, B O'Neill, R Pichs, K Riahi, S Rose, PJ Runci, R Stouffer, D VanVuuren, J Weyant, T Wilbanks, JP van Ypersele, and M Zurek. 2008. "Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies." In IPCC Expert Meeting Report: Towards New Scenarios, p. 132.  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland. 

Selected Publications

2012

2011

2010

2009

  • Marengo JA, K Averyt, B Hewitson, N Leary, and RH Moss, Editors. 2009. Climate Research Special Issue: Integrating Analysis of Regional Climate Change and Response Options. Vol. 40, No. 2-3. Print ISSN: 0936-577X; Online ISSN: 1616-1572. CR SPECIAL 20 contains selected papers from a meeting of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Analysis (TGICA), held in 2007 to catalyze interdisciplinary research on climate change, impacts, adaptation, vulnerability and mitigation.

2007

  • Moss RH. 2007. "Improving Information for Managing an Uncertain Future Climate." Global Environmental Change 17(1):4-7. DOI:10.1016/j-gloenvcha.2006.12.002.

  • Bierbaum RM, JP Holdren, MC MacCracken, RH Moss, and PH Raven, Editors. 2007. Confronting Climate Change: Avoiding the Unmanageable and Managing the Unavoidable. Scientific Expert Group on Climate Change (SEG). Report prepared for the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development, Sigma Xi Research, Triangle Park, North Carolina, and the United Nations Foundation, Washington, D.C.
  • Jochem E, Z Dadi, I Bashmakov, U Farinelli, MK Halpeth, N Jollands, T Kaiser, J Laitner, M Levine, F Moisan, HC Park, A Platonova-Oquab, R Schaeffer, J Sathaye, J Siegel, D Urge-Vorsatz,  E Usher, Y Wang, E Worrell, R. Moss, W Chandler, H Gwin, D Harwood, R Detchon, P Long, K Shickman, R Hobert, T Singh, J Gastellum, J Cass, N Davis, and L Freimuth. 2007. Realizing the Potential of Energy Efficiency: Targets, Policies, and Measures for G8 Countries. Expert Group on Energy Efficiency, United Nations Foundation Expert Report, Washington, D.C., 72 pp.  

2003

2001

  • Moss RH and SH Schneider. 2001. "Towards Consistent Assessment and Reporting of Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR." In: Cross-Cutting Issues in the IPCC Third Assessment Report, R Pachauri and T Taniguchi, Editors, Global Industrial and Social Progress Research Institute for Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Moss RH, AL Brenkert, and EL Malone. 2001. "Vulnerability to Climate Change:  A Quantitative Approach." PNNL-SA-33642, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington.
  • Watson RT, JA Dixon, SP Hamburg, AC Janetos, and RH Moss. 2001. Protecting Our Planet, Securing Our Future: Linkages Among Global Environmental Issues and Human Needs. United Nations Environment Programme, U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration, and The World Bank, Nairobi and Washington, D.C., 95 pp.
  • Watson RT, MC Zinyowera, and RH Moss, Editors. 2001. The Regional Impacts of Climate Change: An Assessment of Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (United Kingdom) and New York, 517 pp.

1998

  • Moss RH. 1998. "Water and the Challenge of Linked Environmental Changes." Water Resources Update (Universities Council on Water Resources) 112(1):6-9.

1997

  • Schimel D, M Grubb, F Joos, R Kaufmann, RH Moss, W Ogana, R Richels, and T Wigley. 1997. Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases: Physical, Biological and Socio-Economic Implications, JT Houghton, L Gylvan, M Filho, DJ Griggs, and K Maskell, Editors. Technical Paper No. 3, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland, 56 pp.

1996

  • Watson RT, MC Zinyowera, and RH Moss, Editors. 1996. Technologies, Policies and Measures for Mitigating Climate Change. Technical Paper No. 1, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland, 85 pp.

1995

  • Watson RT, MC Zinyowera, and RH Moss, Editors. 1995. Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations, and Mitigation (Scientific and Technical Analyses). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (United Kingdom) and New York, 880 pp.

1993

  • Turner BL, RH Moss, and DL Skole. 1993. Relating Land Use and Global Land Cover Change. International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme and Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change Programme, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Williamson P and RH Moss. 1993. "Degrees of National Wealth." Nature 362: Art. No.782. DOI:10.1038/362782a0.

Science at PNNL

Core Research Areas

User Facilities

Centers & Institutes

Research Highlights

View All Research Highlights & Staff Accomplishments

RSS Feed

Contacts