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Assessing the Impacts of Energy Saving Products and Technologies: The Importance of Revealing Underlying Assumptions

Citation

Brook M, MCW Kintner-Meyer, MR Brambley, and DM Anderson.  2004.  "Assessing the Impacts of Energy Saving Products and Technologies: The Importance of Revealing Underlying Assumptions."  In 2004 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings, pp. 4-23 - 4-35.  American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, Washington, DC. 

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Abstract

This paper describes the methodology developed, presents results of applying it to a sample of products emerging from PIER-funded research, and identifies some key drivers of the impact analysis.. It also discusses how assessment methods based on technical potential alone without considering the trajectory of market penetration over time can provide misleadingly optimistic estimates of impacts. The paper concludes with key observations on how the assessment methodology might be used most effectively in making R&D investment decisions and where it might be misused or the results are misleading.

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