On This Page
- Motivation and Capability Modeling for Threat Anticipation
- Distributed Grid Operator Training in the Electricity Infrastructure Operations Center (EIOC)
- Normal and Emergency Power Grid Operations Visualizations
- Human Factors Analysis of Advanced Tools and Visualizations for Power Grid Operations
- Predictive Modeling for Insider Threat Mitigation
- Scalable Reasoning Systems
- Intelligent Multi-Agent System for Knowledge Discovery
- Testbed for Intelligence Analysis Tools
- Methodology and Metrics for Intelligence Analysis Tool Evaluation
Research Applications: Human-System Integration/Human-Information Interaction
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) Cognitive Informatics research and development in human information interaction spans several areas of application aimed at improving human-system performance, enhancing human-computer interaction, and developing solutions to information analysis and visualization to effectively raise human-computer bandwidth.
Representative projects are described below with points-of-contact email addresses.
Motivation and Capability Modeling for Threat Anticipation
This project will identify motivation parameters that influence
adversaries behavior and develop a model that reflects the relationships
among these parameters. It provides a likelihood estimate of scenarios based
on Socio-cultural parameters, which are defined according to specified life
narrative indicators that act as proxies for underlying motivation
constructs. It takes knowledge, skills and abilities (human capability
information) into account to identify possible mappings between actors and
their roles within threat scenarios. The innovative approach of integrating
socio-cultural factors into the anticipatory analysis of threat scenarios
enables analysts to gain a perspective on events and their implications that
transcend situational awareness. This approach promotes what we have called
cultural sensemaking allowing the analyst to see the world from the
perspective of the adversary, with insight into motivational factors that
address the question of who and why in addition to the what, where, and when
questions that have historically guided intelligence analysis processes.
Contact: Frank.Greitzer@pnl.gov
Distributed Grid Operator Training in the Electricity Infrastructure Operations Center (EIOC)
Investigations of large-scale outages in the North American
interconnected electric system often attribute the causes to three T's:
Trees, Training and Tools. To document and understand the mental processes
used by expert operators when making critical decisions, a naturalistic
decision making (NDM) model was developed. Transcripts of conversations
were analyzed to reveal and assess NDM-based performance criteria. An item
analysis indicated that the operators' Situation Awareness Levels, mental
models, and mental simulations can be mapped at different points in the
training scenario. This may identify improved training methods or
analytical/ visualization tools. This study applies for the first time, the
concepts of Recognition Primed Decision Making, Situation Awareness Levels
and Cognitive Task Analysis to training of electric power system operators.
The NDM approach provides a viable framework for systematic training
management to accelerate learning in simulator-based training scenarios for
power system operators and teams.
Contact: Frank.Greitzer@pnl.gov
Normal and Emergency Power Grid Operations Visualizations

We are working closely with power grid operators to document current
practice and displays/processes used in normal and emergency grid
operations. Cognitive task analyses were used to document the process and
applicable displays and visualizations. The analysis revealed not only
display design deficiencies but also inefficiencies in the process that
could be traced to the difficulty or number of steps needed to access
relevant information. The results of the analysis informed the design of new
displays and visualizations that are aimed to streamline and improve the
decision process, where more rapid access to relevant information and
improved analysis support saves time and allows the dispatcher/decision
maker more time to focus more on problem solving.
Contact: Frank.Greitzer@pnl.gov
Human Factors Analysis of Advanced Tools and Visualizations for Power Grid Operations
The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) has an ongoing research program aimed at developing advanced analyses and visualizations to enhance operator situation awareness and decision making in normal and emergency power grid operations. Acknowledging the need for validation studies, PNNL has initiated a human factors test and evaluation program within its Electricity Infrastructure Operations Center (EIOC) to conduct appropriate validation studies using internally-developed visualization tools. The expectation is that the framework and experimental methods specified and employed in this project will be useful for identifying performance impacts and utility of power grid analysis and visualization tools developed not only by PNNL but also by other R&D groups, with evaluations that may be conducted on behalf of industry and DOE stakeholders. Ultimately, it is hoped that the human factors and test/evaluation methodology, applied within the PNNL EIOC, will lead to the deployment of more effective tools and visualizations that will ultimately improve the performance of power grid operators, supervisory personnel, and regulatory policy makers through enhanced situation awareness and cognitive decision support, and ultimately create more reliable and secure electric power grid interconnection and operations.
2009 EMS Users Conference Presentation
Contact: Frank.Greitzer@pnl.gov
Predictive Modeling for Insider Threat Mitigation
This Laboratory-Directed Research and Development project is being
conducted under the Predictive Defense focus area of PNNL's Information
& Infrastructure Integrity Initiative. Current practice in addressing
the insider cyber threat is to monitor the network and individual systems in
order to identify when someone is not following established policy or is
abusing their authorized level of access in a way that is harmful to the
organization. This involves the use of tools such as Firewall logs or IDS
systems on networks or host systems that produce records of activity are
later reviewed. Thus, current practice is reactive (post-hoc). A
major research challenge is to effectively reduce the time between defection
and detection, even to the point where detection of "threat
indicators" can help to predict such exploits before they are
completed. Major accomplishments include a review of prior research and
practice in insider threat detection tool development (establishing the
technical/scientific basis for the work), development of conceptual design
for the envisioned predictive/adaptive functions of the
model—illustrated in the diagram below showing the processing of
incoming sensor data to infer observations, processing of observations to
infer indicators, and analysis of indicators to gauge extent of threat
(malicious behaviors). The research also described threat indicators that
address cyber and social/organizational factors as precursors to malicious
exploits. Current focus is on implementing selected classification
algorithms and reasoning components of the predictive model.
Contact: Frank.Greitzer@pnl.gov
Scalable Reasoning Systems
Technology to support knowledge transfer and cooperative inquiry must offer
its users the ability to effectively interpret knowledge structures produced by
collaborators. Communicating the reasoning processes that underlie a finding is
a method for enhancing interpretation that can result in more effective
evaluation and application of shared knowledge. In knowledge management tools,
interpretation is aided by creating knowledge artifacts that can expose their
provenance to scrutiny and that can be transformed into diverse representations
that suit their consumers? perspectives and preferences. This National
Visualization and Analytics Center (NVAC) research on Scalable
Reasoning is advancing tools and methods for teams of collaborating
analysts to capture, share, and reuse analysis processes and reasoning
strategies through a combination of desktop and mobile environments for
information capture and synthesis. Analytic products can be visually composed
and disseminated to consumers who in turn can "unwrap" these products to
evaluate their associated evidence, assumptions, and reasoning. This research is
being carried out by PNNL for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, which
established NVAC as a national and
international resource for visual analytics.
Contact: Bill.Pike@pnl.gov
Intelligent Multi-Agent System for Knowledge Discovery
Researchers at PNNL are working on the design and development of systems that
enhance human-information interaction in information analysis and discovery for
diverse applications, such as intelligence analysis and bio-informatics. The
goal is to enable a decision maker to ask a complicated question and receive
fused information to support knowledge discovery. Our approach integrates a
cognitive model and a cooperative community of intelligent software agents into
a computer-based data analysis architecture that supports information analysis,
synthesis, and discovery from massive, complex, and heterogeneous data sets to
aid in research. The cognitive modeling effort supports the system's capability
to adapt to changes in the analyst's strategies for data gathering or analysis.
The research on intelligent systems is focused on developing innovative
algorithms for agent management, techniques for managing explicit and implicit
knowledge, and novel methods for transforming retrieved information into a
common ontological form to enable knowledge insertion. Finally, we are
developing methods for presenting this fused information in an appropriate
manner to the domain expert.
Contact: Olga.Kuchar@pnl.gov
Testbed for Intelligence Analysis Tools
The Advanced Research and Development Activity, through its Novel Intelligence from Massive Data (NIMD) program, has undertaken a research program to assist intelligence analysis. As part of this program, PNNL developed a Glass Box Analysis Environment (GBAE) to provide data to increase researchers' understanding of cognitive foundations and to provide an integration/test environment for NIMD-developed tools. A continuing challenge was to define requirements for automated data collection functions that are unobtrusive, yet robust and complete enough not only to capture lower-level data on human-computer transactions but also to shed light on the analyst's higher-level cognitive processes. The GBAE instrumentation software has produced an extensive repository of automated human-computer interaction data augmented by user- initiated annotations.
Glass Box
Flier
Contact: Laura.Curtis@pnl.gov
Methodology and Metrics for Intelligence Analysis Tool Evaluation
Intelligence analysis (IA) professionals are confronted each day with high
demands for rapid, yet accurate assessments that require discovery and
marshalling of evidence, integration and synthesis of data from disparate
sources, interpreting and evaluating data and information that are constantly
changing, and making recommendations or predictions in the face of inconsistent
and incomplete data. Recognizing the difficulty of the IA task, stakeholders and
the research community have been seeking technology-based solutions to reduce
the analyst's workload and improve the throughput and quality of IA products. A
challenge for the research community is to develop useful and valid metrics and
measures that may be used to assess the impact of such products. Some
fundamental issues are: (a) how to employ rigorous methodologies in evaluating
tools, small-sample size limitations and the need to control for task difficulty
and possible effects of time or learning; (b) how to measure the
difficulty/complexity of IA tasks; and (c) development of more rigorous
(summative), performance-based measures of human performance beyond the more
traditional reliance on formative assessments (e.g., subjective ratings). This
critical challenge must be addressed to ensure that tools and techniques
introduced into the IA process are effective. Research on these challenges is
currently being conducted by PNNL in support of intelligence community
stakeholders.
Contact: Frank.Greitzer@pnl.gov




