
8:30-9:00 Registration
9:00-9:20 Welcome. Mario Molina, Centro Mario Molina
9:20-9:30 Introduction. Mark Heil, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Session I Issues and New Developments in Top-Down Modeling
Moderator: Carlos Mena, Centro Mario Molina
9:30-9:50 Macroeconomic Modeling: Co-Benefits Analysis.(abstract) Roy Boyd, University of Ohio
9:50-10:10 To the Future: Environment, Energy, and the Economy in 21 st Century Mexico. (abstract) Maria Eugenia Ibarraran, Universidad de las Americas
10:10-10:30 Second Generation Model: A Global Economic-Environmental Framework. (abstract) Ron Sands, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
10:30-11:00 Questions
11:00-11:30 Break
11:30-11:50 Mexico in the Second Generation Energy-Economic-Climate Model. (abstract) Mariano Bauer, Instituto Mexicano del Petroleo
11:50-12:10 MOEEMA: Investment Requirements to Reduce Emissions with Growth and Income Distribution 2005-2015. (abstract) German Alarco
12:10-12:30 Economic Growth and Environmental Sustainability in MZMC. Is there an Environmental Curve? (abstract) Luis Miguel Galindo , Facultad de Economia-UNAM
12:30-13:00 Questions
13:00-14:00 Lunch
Session II - Issues and Developments in Bottom-Up Modeling
Moderator: Juan Mata, Secretaria de Energia
14:00-14:30 Energy and Emissions Long Term Outlook: A Detailed Simulation of Energy Supply-Demand. (abstract) (full paper) Juan Quintanilla, DEGSCA-UNAM
14:30-14:50 SAGE: System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets. Barry Kapilow-Cohen , U.S. Energy Information Administration
14:50-15:10 Transport Energy Demand and Environment: Used Vehicles Impact on the Incorporation of Cleaner and Renewable Energies Policies in Developing Countries. (abstract) Elizabeth Mar, Instituto Mexicano del Petroleo
15:10-15:40 Questions
15:40-16:10 Break
16:10-16:30 Defining the Pollutants Base Line for the Insurgentes Avenue - Metrobus Project.(abstract) Adriana Lobo, Centro de Transporte Sustentable
16:30-16:50 Nitrosus Oxide Emissions Growth in the Mexican Transport Sector. (abstract) Jorge Gasca, Instituto Mexicano del Petroleo
16:50-17:10 Defining Environmental Strategies and Policies: Use of Optimization Models, (abstract) Rodrigo Favela, Petroleos Mexicanos
17:10-17:30 Externalities Evaluation Using the SIMPACTS Model. (abstract) Carlos Garcia Moreno, Secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales
17:30-18:00 Questions
Session III Modeling of Non-CO 2 Gases and Agriculture/Land Use Issues
Moderator: Israel Laguna, INE
9:00-9:20 Non-CO 2 Green House Gases in the 2 nd Generation Model: EMF21.(abstract) Michael Shelby, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
9:20-9:40 LBUL/EPA Forest Sector Climatic Cooperation Mitigation: Potential and Costs. (abstract) Jayant Sathaye, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
9:40-10:00 Social Aspects of Deforestation Process in Mexico. Ben De Jong, El Colegio de la Frontera Sur
10:00-10:20 Biogas Mexican Model. (abstract) Gustavo Rosiles Secretaria de Desarrollo Social
10:20-11:00 Q uestions
11:00-11:30 Break
Session IV Modeling Applications
Moderator: Julia Martinez, INE
11:30-11:50 Climate Change Risk Assessment Framework. (abstract) Jane Leggett, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
11:50-12:10 Salamanca 's Refinery Quality Impact Air Modeling. (abstract) Gustavo Sosa, Instituto Mexicano del Petroleo
12:10-12:30 Instituto Nacional de Ecología Co-Benefits Studies. (abstract) Miriam Zuk / Patricia Osnaya, Instituto Nacional de Ecología
12:30-13:00 Questions
13:00-14:00 Lunch
14:00-14:20 Emission and Atmospheric Pollution Control: Numeric Modeling.(abstract) Francisco Hernandez, Secretaria del Medio Ambiente del D.F.
14:20-14:40 Modeling of SOx Dispersion From Oil Sector Activities in Sonda de Campeche.(abstract) Moises Magdaleno, Instituto Mexicano del Petroleo
14:40-15:00 Energy-Environmental Scenarios to 2030.(abstract) Gerardo Bazan, Programa Universitario de Energia-UNAM.
15:00-15:30 Questions
15:30-16:00 Break
Sesión V Policy Implications
Moderator: Francisco Barnes, CRE
17:30-17:45 Closing Remarks Francisco Barnes, Comision Reguladora de Energia